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Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 71% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 55% O/U 7.5 49% NRFI 44% Volume: $102K Liquidity: $879K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.571%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.555%
O/U 7.549%
NRFI44%
Spread -1.542%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.541%
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers40%
O/U 8.540%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.535%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.532%
O/U 9.532%
Spread -2.531%
Spread -1.528%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.522%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.521%
Spread -2.520%
Extra Innings13%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 71% probability to boston red sox vs. los angeles dodgers. In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for August 1 at 9:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. Thi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 71% for "Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 71% Other 29%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $102K.

Methodology

We track Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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Related Topics

Sports