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LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs SU Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage

Live odds for "LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs SU Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Odd/Even Total Kills 64% Any Player Quadra Kill 55% Any Player Penta Kill 55% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 54% Volume: $311K Liquidity: $230K Closes: 1 Oct 2026
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LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs SU Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
64% 36% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
64% 36% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Odd/Even Total Kills64%
Any Player Quadra Kill55%
Any Player Penta Kill55%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor54%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon54%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors54%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Game 2 Winner49%
Match Winner48%
Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs The Secret Club Esport (+1.5)48%
Game 1 Winner47%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Odd/Even Total Kills39%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 64% YES probability for LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs SU Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage. This market refers to the LoL Round 5 match between The Secret Club Esport and SU Esports in the EMEA Masters Swiss Stage, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

We track LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs SU Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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