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LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 3.5 Games 72% Match Winner 60% Game 4 Winner 58% Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2? 56% Volume: $109K Liquidity: $170K Closes: 30 Sept 2026
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LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 72% 28% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 72% 28% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games72%
Match Winner60%
Game 4 Winner58%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3?55%
Game 2 Winner53%
Game 1 Winner52%
Game 3 Winner52%
Odd/Even Total Kills52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?47%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 4?42%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?40%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 3?40%
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)39%
O/U 4.5 Games35%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Game Handicap: T1.A (-2.5) vs Galions (+2.5)19%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 72% probability to lol: t1 academy vs galions (bo5) - world star challengers invitational playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 2 match between T1 Academy and Galions in the World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This mark…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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