Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

LoL: Onion Team vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hi… | Kalshi Vs Polymarket 2026

Name: LoL: Onion Team vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season
Start: 2026-08-24T22:10:24.000Z
End: 2026-08-25T21:00:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	70%	30%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	70%	30%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	View on Polymarket →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
O/U 2.5 Games	70%
Game 1 Winner	50%
Game 2 Winner	50%
Match Winner	50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor	50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon	50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors	50%
Any Player Quadra Kill	50%
Any Player Penta Kill	50%
Odd/Even Total Kills	50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor	50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon	50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors	50%
Any Player Quadra Kill	50%
Any Player Penta Kill	50%
Odd/Even Total Kills	50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor	50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon	50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors	50%
Any Player Quadra Kill	50%
Any Player Penta Kill	50%
Odd/Even Total Kills	50%

Market context

LoL: Onion Team vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season — current market-implied probability: 70%. This market refers to the LoL match between Onion Team and CITA Kaizen in the Hitpoint Masters Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Oni…

Methodology

We track LoL: Onion Team vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?: Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?: Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?: Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?: Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Jordan LeeSports Prediction Reporterand

Chris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

Trade LoL: Onion Team vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Mast… on Kalshi vs Polymarket

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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LoL: Onion Team vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade LoL: Onion Team vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Mast… on Kalshi vs Polymarket

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