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LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi vs Polymarket.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 68% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 64% Volume: $183K Liquidity: $672K Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon68%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?64%
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)64%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?63%
O/U 3.5 Games60%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Game 4 Winner38%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?35%
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)35%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?34%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?33%
Game 1 Winner33%
Game 2 Winner33%
Game 3 Winner32%
First Blood in Game 2?30%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
O/U 4.5 Games26%
Match Winner19%
Any Player Penta Kill11%
Any Player Penta Kill11%
Any Player Penta Kill11%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 69% YES probability for LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Deep Cross Gaming and Team Liquid in the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In, initially scheduled for June 29 at 4:00AM ET. This market…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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