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Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés - More Markets

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés - More Markets" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi vs Polymarket.

O/U 0.5 90% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5 74% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 72% O/U 1.5 68% Volume: $68K Liquidity: $2.1M Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.590%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.574%
2nd Half O/U 0.572%
O/U 1.568%
Deportivo Alavés O/U 0.564%
1st Half O/U 0.563%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2nd Half O/U 0.552%
Both Teams to Score49%
Deportivo Alavés 2nd Half O/U 0.543%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1st Half O/U 0.542%
O/U 2.540%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.538%
2nd Half O/U 1.538%
Deportivo Alavés 1st Half O/U 0.535%
1st Half O/U 1.526%
Deportivo Alavés O/U 1.526%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half25%
O/U 3.520%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)19%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2nd Half O/U 1.518%
Both Teams to Score in First Half16%
2nd Half O/U 2.515%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 2.513%
Deportivo Alavés 2nd Half O/U 1.512%
Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)10%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1st Half O/U 1.510%
O/U 4.58%
1st Half O/U 2.58%
Deportivo Alavés O/U 2.58%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)7%
Deportivo Alavés 1st Half O/U 1.57%
O/U 5.53%
Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)2%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 90% probability to rayo vallecano de madrid vs. deportivo alavés - more markets. More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for August 20 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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