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ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Dany Robas vs Filippo Valdetara

Comparison of odds and platforms for "ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Dany Robas vs Filippo Valdetara" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi vs Polymarket.

ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Dany Robas vs Filippo Valdetara Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Dany Robas vs Filippo Valdetara Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Dany Robas vs Filippo Valdetara Total Sets: O/U 2.5 50% ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Dany Robas vs Filippo Valdetara Set 2 Winner 50% Volume: $67K Closes: 31 Aug 2026
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ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Dany Robas vs Filippo Valdetara

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Dany Robas vs Filippo Valdetara Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Dany Robas vs Filippo Valdetara Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Dany Robas vs Filippo Valdetara Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Dany Robas vs Filippo Valdetara Set 2 Winner50%
ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Dany Robas vs Filippo Valdetara Set 2 O/U 8.550%
ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Dany Robas vs Filippo Valdetara Match O/U 21.550%
ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Dany Robas vs Filippo Valdetara Set Handicap +/-1.550%
ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Dany Robas vs Filippo Valdetara Match O/U 22.550%
ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Dany Robas vs Filippo Valdetara Set 2 O/U 9.550%
ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Dany Robas vs Filippo Valdetara Set Handicap +/-1.550%
ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Dany Robas vs Filippo Valdetara Match O/U 23.550%
ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Dany Robas vs Filippo Valdetara Set 2 O/U 10.550%
ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Dany Robas vs Filippo Valdetara0%
Completed Match0%
ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Dany Robas vs Filippo Valdetara Set 1 Winner0%
ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Dany Robas vs Filippo Valdetara Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Dany Robas vs Filippo Valdetara. This market refers to the tennis match between Dany Robas and Filippo Valdetara in the ITF M25 Lausanne Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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