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Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Completed Match 100% Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva Set 1 Winner 100% Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $321K Closes: 28 Jul 2026
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Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva Set 1 Winner100%
Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva Match O/U 21.5100%
Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva Match O/U 22.5100%
Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva Match O/U 23.5100%
Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva0%
Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva Set 2 Winner0%
Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to hamburg european open: sara sorribes tormo vs alina charaeva. This market refers to the tennis match between Sara Sorribes Tormo and Alina Charaeva in the Hamburg European Open, originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'S…

Methodology

This page reviews Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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