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US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli

Five-platform snapshot of "US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli Set 1 Winner 100% US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli Match O/U 22.5 98% US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli Total Sets: O/U 2.5 75% Volume: $155K Liquidity: $373K Closes: 31 Aug 2026
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US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli Set 1 Winner100%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli Match O/U 22.598%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli Match O/U 21.575%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli68%
Completed Match50%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli Match O/U 23.550%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli Game Spread +/-1.550%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli Set Handicap +/-1.55%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli Set Handicap +/-1.54%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli Set 2 Winner0%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli Set 2 O/U 8.50%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli Set 2 O/U 9.50%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli Set 1 O/U 9.50%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli Set 2 O/U 10.50%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of us open, qualification wta: mia ristic vs ayana akli. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Ristic and Ayana Akli in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will…

Methodology

This page reviews US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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