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The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally

How the prediction-market book is pricing "The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Completed Match 100% The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally Set Handicap +/-1.5 100% The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally 0% Volume: $141K Liquidity: $438K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally0%
The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally Set 1 Winner0%
The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally Set 2 Winner0%
The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally Match O/U 21.50%
The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally Set 1 O/U 8.50%
The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally Set Handicap +/-1.50%
The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally Set 2 O/U 9.50%
The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally Match O/U 22.50%
The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally Set 1 O/U 9.50%
The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally Set 2 O/U 10.50%
The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally Match O/U 23.50%
The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of the memphis classic: yexin ma vs caty mcnally. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Yexin Ma and Caty McNally in the The Memphis Classic, originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

This page reviews The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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Related Topics

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