Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Elina Svitolina Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Elina Svitolina Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Elina Svitolina Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Elina Svitolina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Elina Svitolina Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Elina Svitolina Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Elina Svitolina Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Elina Svitolina Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Elina Svitolina | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Elina Svitolina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Elina Svitolina Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Elina Svitolina Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Elina Svitolina Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Elina Svitolina Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, mubadala citi dc open: polina kudermetova vs elina svitolina stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Polina Kudermetova and Elina Svitolina in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This mark…
Methodology
This page reviews Mubadala Citi DC Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Elina Svitolina across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Mubadala Citi DC Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Elina S… on Kalshi vs Polymarket
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →