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Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova Set 2 Winner 100% Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $313K Liquidity: $129K Closes: 17 Sept 2026
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Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova Set 2 Winner100%
Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova Match O/U 21.591%
Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova Match O/U 22.591%
Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova Match O/U 23.591%
Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova70%
Completed Match51%
Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova Game Spread +/-4.550%
Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova Set 1 Winner0%
Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to barranquilla: elsa jacquemot vs anastasia tikhonova. This market refers to the tennis match between Elsa Jacquemot and Anastasia Tikhonova in the Barranquilla, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elsa …

Methodology

This page reviews Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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