Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map Handicap: ZETA (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 54% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-4.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-3.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 46% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map Handicap: RRQ (-1.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-4.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-3.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-4.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-3.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-2.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+2.5) | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: rex regum qeon vs zeta division (bo3) - vct pacific group alpha. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between Rex Regum Qeon and ZETA DIVISION in the VCT Pacific Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 24 at 4:00AM ET. This market will re…
Methodology
We track Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VC… on Kalshi vs Polymarket
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →