Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5 | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-2.5) vs NAVI Junior (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-5.5) vs NAVI Junior (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-3.5) vs NAVI Junior (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-4.5) vs NAVI Junior (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NAVI Junior (-2.5) vs FOKUS (+2.5) | 90% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 90% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 10% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-2.5) vs NAVI Junior (+2.5) | 10% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-4.5) vs NAVI Junior (+4.5) | 8% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-3.5) vs NAVI Junior (+3.5) | 8% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NAVI Junior (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: FKS (-1.5) vs NAVI Junior (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-2.5) vs NAVI Junior (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NAVI Junior (-4.5) vs FOKUS (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NAVI Junior (-5.5) vs FOKUS (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NAVI Junior (-2.5) vs FOKUS (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: NAVI.J (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NAVI Junior (-2.5) vs FOKUS (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NAVI Junior (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: navi junior vs fokus (bo3) - vcl emea: stage 3 playoffs. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between NAVI Junior and FOKUS in the VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 30 at 11:00AM ET. This market will …
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: NAVI Junior vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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