Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5) | 90% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Paper Rex (+4.5) | 90% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 10% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5) | 10% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-6.5) vs Karmine Corp (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 10% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 10% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Paper Rex (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-5.5) vs Karmine Corp (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Paper Rex (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-5.5) vs Paper Rex (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-7.5) vs Paper Rex (+7.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-6.5) vs Paper Rex (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Valorant Elimination match between Karmine Corp and Paper Rex in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 4 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kar…
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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