Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
68% | 32% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
68% | 32% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) | 68% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) | 66% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 65% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 65% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 62% |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 49% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% |
| Map 1 Winner | 46% |
| Match Winner | 44% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 37% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 36% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 33% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 32% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 30% |
| Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) | 28% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 27% |
| Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | 26% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 24% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 23% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) | 22% |
Market context
Market consensus: 68% chance of valorant: fut esports vs karmine corp (bo3) - vct emea playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket final match between FUT Esports and Karmine Corp in the VCT EMEA Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: FUT Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EM… on Kalshi vs Polymarket
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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