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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Volume: $426K Liquidity: $741K Closes: 30 Aug 2026
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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-4.5) vs G2 Esports (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs G2 Esports (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)91%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-6.5) vs FURIA Esports (+6.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-7.5) vs FURIA Esports (+7.5)55%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.555%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.555%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.555%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)0%
Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-5.5) vs G2 Esports (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-4.5) vs G2 Esports (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-5.5) vs G2 Esports (+5.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs G2 Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: furia esports vs g2 esports (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between FURIA Esports and G2 Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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