Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| ŠK Slovan Bratislava (-1.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| ŠK Slovan Bratislava O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| ŠK Slovan Bratislava O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| ŠK Slovan Bratislava 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| ŠK Slovan Bratislava 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Team to Advance | 100% |
| Mjällby AIF (-1.5) | 0% |
| ŠK Slovan Bratislava (-2.5) | 0% |
| Mjällby AIF (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| ŠK Slovan Bratislava O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Mjällby AIF O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Mjällby AIF O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Mjällby AIF O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| ŠK Slovan Bratislava 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| ŠK Slovan Bratislava 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Mjällby AIF 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Mjällby AIF 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Mjällby AIF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Mjällby AIF 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
ŠK Slovan Bratislava will face Mjällby AIF in a UEFA Champions League qualifying round match on 11 August 2026. The fixture represents a preliminary stage of European club competition, with the winner advancing further in the tournament structure. Slovan Bratislava, the Slovak champions, typically qualify for European competition annually, whilst Mjällby AIF competes in the Swedish Allsvenskan and has less frequent European exposure. The 100% implied probability on this prediction market contract suggests settlement hinges on whether additional betting markets or match-related derivatives will be offered by major sportsbooks following the initial fixture.
Historical precedent shows that UEFA Champions League qualifying matches consistently generate secondary market activity. When major sportsbooks cover a fixture, they typically offer multiple derivative products—goal-scorer bets, corner counts, yellow-card markets—within hours of the primary match being listed. The settlement window closing at 18:15 UTC on match day itself indicates the contract resolves based on whether such supplementary markets materialise by that deadline, not on match outcome.
Traders should monitor sportsbook announcements in the week preceding 11 August. Regulatory filings from operators in major jurisdictions (UK, EU, North America) often signal market expansion plans. Fixture confirmation, team news regarding injuries to key players, and any scheduling changes would affect whether operators deem the match sufficiently liquid for secondary products. Recent UEFA fixture calendars show qualifying rounds consistently receive broad coverage, making non-settlement an outlier scenario rather than baseline expectation.
Methodology
This page reviews ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. Mjällby AIF - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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