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SS Lazio vs. AC Milan - More Markets

Comparison of odds and platforms for "SS Lazio vs. AC Milan - More Markets" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi vs Polymarket.

O/U 0.5 90% AC Milan O/U 0.5 76% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 74% O/U 1.5 69% Volume: $169K Liquidity: $379K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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SS Lazio vs. AC Milan - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.590%
AC Milan O/U 0.576%
2nd Half O/U 0.574%
O/U 1.569%
1st Half O/U 0.565%
SS Lazio O/U 0.564%
AC Milan 2nd Half O/U 0.551%
Both Teams to Score50%
AC Milan 1st Half (-2.5)50%
SS Lazio 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
AC Milan 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
AC Milan 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
SS Lazio 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
SS Lazio 1st Half (-2.5)49%
AC Milan 1st Half O/U 0.546%
O/U 2.543%
AC Milan O/U 1.540%
2nd Half O/U 1.538%
SS Lazio 1st Half O/U 0.536%
SS Lazio 2nd Half O/U 0.535%
AC Milan 2nd Half O/U 1.532%
1st Half O/U 1.528%
SS Lazio 1st Half (-1.5)27%
SS Lazio O/U 1.525%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half24%
O/U 3.522%
AC Milan (-1.5)21%
Both Teams to Score in First Half17%
AC Milan 1st Half O/U 1.517%
SS Lazio 1st Half O/U 1.516%
2nd Half O/U 2.516%
AC Milan O/U 2.514%
SS Lazio 2nd Half O/U 1.511%
SS Lazio (-1.5)9%
O/U 4.59%
1st Half O/U 2.59%
AC Milan (-2.5)8%
SS Lazio O/U 2.58%
AC Milan 1st Half (-1.5)8%
O/U 5.53%
SS Lazio (-2.5)2%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 90% YES probability for SS Lazio vs. AC Milan - More Markets. More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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