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CD Santa Clara vs. CD Nacional - Exact Score

How the prediction-market book is pricing "CD Santa Clara vs. CD Nacional - Exact Score" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

CD Santa Clara 2 - 2 CD Nacional 100% CD Santa Clara 0 - 0 CD Nacional 0% CD Santa Clara 0 - 1 CD Nacional 0% CD Santa Clara 1 - 0 CD Nacional 0% Volume: $72K Liquidity: $241K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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CD Santa Clara vs. CD Nacional - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
CD Santa Clara 2 - 2 CD Nacional100%
CD Santa Clara 0 - 0 CD Nacional0%
CD Santa Clara 0 - 1 CD Nacional0%
CD Santa Clara 1 - 0 CD Nacional0%
CD Santa Clara 0 - 2 CD Nacional0%
CD Santa Clara 1 - 1 CD Nacional0%
CD Santa Clara 2 - 0 CD Nacional0%
CD Santa Clara 0 - 3 CD Nacional0%
CD Santa Clara 1 - 2 CD Nacional0%
CD Santa Clara 2 - 1 CD Nacional0%
CD Santa Clara 3 - 0 CD Nacional0%
CD Santa Clara 1 - 3 CD Nacional0%
CD Santa Clara 3 - 1 CD Nacional0%
CD Santa Clara 2 - 3 CD Nacional0%
CD Santa Clara 3 - 2 CD Nacional0%
CD Santa Clara 3 - 3 CD Nacional0%
Any Other Score0%

Market context

The CD Santa Clara vs. CD Nacional - Exact Score prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming Primeira Liga game between CD Santa Clara and CD Nacional, scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CD Santa Clara vs. CD N…

Methodology

We track CD Santa Clara vs. CD Nacional - Exact Score across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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