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MLB: Triples Leader

Live odds for "MLB: Triples Leader" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Corbin Carroll 83% Luis Arraez 3% Xavier Edwards 2% Ronald Acuña Jr. 2% Volume: $1.3M Liquidity: $36K Closes: 28 Sept 2026
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MLB: Triples Leader

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 83% 17% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 83% 17% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Corbin Carroll83%
Luis Arraez3%
Xavier Edwards2%
Ronald Acuña Jr.2%
Shohei Ohtani2%
Byron Buxton2%
Francisco Lindor1%
Otto Lopez1%
Chandler Simpson1%
Wilyer Abreu1%
Roman Anthony1%
Jarren Duran1%
Zach McKinstry1%
Jackson Merrill1%
Bobby Witt Jr.1%
CJ Abrams1%
Andrew Benintendi0%
Wyatt Langford0%
Jakob Marsee0%
Kevin McGonigle0%
Max Muncy0%
Miguel Andujar0%
Jung Hoo Lee0%
Daylen Lile0%
Mickey Moniak0%
Elly De La Cruz0%
Trea Turner0%
Michael Harris II0%
Jordan Beck0%
Player A0%
Player B0%
Player C0%
Player D0%
Player E0%
Player F0%
Player G0%
Player H0%
Player I0%
Player J0%
Player K0%
Player L0%
Player M0%
Player N0%
Player O0%
Player P0%
Player Q0%
Player R0%
Player S0%
Player T0%
Player U0%
Player V0%
Player W0%
Player X0%
Player Y0%
Player Z0%
Player AA0%
Player BB0%
Player CC0%
Player DD0%
Player EE0%
Player FF0%
Player GG0%
Player HH0%
Player II0%
Player JJ0%
Player KK0%
Player LL0%
Player MM0%
Player NN0%
Player OO0%
Player PP0%
Player QQ0%
Player RR0%
Player SS0%
Player TT0%
Player UU0%
Player VV0%
Player WW0%
Player XX0%
Player YY0%
Player ZZ0%
Player AAA0%
Player BBB0%
Player CCC0%
Player DDD0%
Other0%

Market context

MLB: Triples Leader — current market-implied probability: 83%. This market will resolve according to the player who hits the most triples during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the offic…

Methodology

We track MLB: Triples Leader across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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