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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals

Live odds for "Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

NRFI 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 54% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 53% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 52% Volume: $197K Liquidity: $388K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.554%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.553%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.552%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.552%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.551%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.550%
Extra Innings50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
Spread -1.545%
O/U 9.544%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals38%
O/U 10.538%
Spread -1.528%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to tampa bay rays vs. kansas city royals. In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for June 30 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $197K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

Sports