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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi vs Polymarket.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 79% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 63% O/U 7.5 56% O/U 8.5 51% Volume: $83K Liquidity: $433K Closes: 17 Sept 2026
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.579%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.563%
O/U 7.556%
O/U 8.551%
NRFI49%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.549%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves48%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.538%
O/U 9.538%
Spread -1.537%
Spread -1.535%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.533%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.528%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.526%
Spread -2.526%
Spread -2.526%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 79% YES probability for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves. In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for September 10 at 12:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. Thi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 79% for "Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 79% Other 21%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $83K.

Methodology

This page reviews Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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Related Topics

Sports