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St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants

Five-platform snapshot of "St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

NRFI 100% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 85% Spread -1.5 62% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 61% Volume: $240K Liquidity: $97K Closes: 15 Sept 2026
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St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.585%
Spread -1.562%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.561%
O/U 9.557%
O/U 6.552%
Spread -2.545%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.538%
O/U 7.537%
O/U 8.530%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.523%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants20%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.514%
Extra Innings14%
Spread -1.512%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.511%
Spread -2.57%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.56%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to st. louis cardinals vs. san francisco giants. In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for September 7 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $240K.

Methodology

We track St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

Sports