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LoL: Valerion vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO5) - HLL Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Valerion vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO5) - HLL Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi vs Polymarket.

Any Player Quadra Kill 54% Any Player Penta Kill 54% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 53% Game 2 Winner 51% Volume: $99K Liquidity: $87K Closes: 27 Aug 2026
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LoL: Valerion vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO5) - HLL Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
54% 46% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
54% 46% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
Any Player Penta Kill54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Game 2 Winner51%
Game 3 Winner51%
Match Winner51%
O/U 3.5 Games51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Game 1 Winner50%
Game 4 Winner50%
O/U 4.5 Games50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Any Player Penta Kill21%
Any Player Penta Kill21%
Any Player Penta Kill16%

Market context

The LoL: Valerion vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO5) - HLL Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 54% YES. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Valerion and Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports in the HLL Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. …

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Valerion vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO5) - HLL Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade LoL: Valerion vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esp… on Kalshi vs Polymarket

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