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LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi vs Polymarket.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Match Winner 56% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 53% Volume: $163K Liquidity: $139K Closes: 31 Aug 2026
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LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Match Winner56%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Game 1 Winner52%
Game 2 Winner52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?46%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon41%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?41%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?34%
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)31%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?31%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%

Market context

Market consensus: 65% chance of lol: lyon vs team liquid (bo3) - lcs regular season. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between LYON and Team Liquid in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYO…

Methodology

We track LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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