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LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Final Four

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Final Four" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 3 Winner 100% O/U 3.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Volume: $222K Liquidity: $686K Closes: 2 Sept 2026
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LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Final Four

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 3 Winner100%
O/U 3.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Match Winner81%
Game 4 Winner59%
Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)59%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon54%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
O/U 4.5 Games42%
Game Handicap: MKF (-2.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+2.5)1%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1%
Game 2 Winner0%

Market context

The LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Final Four prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix and UCAM Esports Club in the LES Final Four, initially scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

We track LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Final Four across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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