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LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Live odds for "LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Match Winner 82% Game 1 Winner 74% Game 2 Winner 74% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 64% Volume: $89K Liquidity: $405K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner82%
Game 1 Winner74%
Game 2 Winner74%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon63%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?59%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?59%
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)55%
First Blood in Game 2?53%
First Blood in Game 1?53%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?46%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon41%
O/U 2.5 Games37%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 82% YES probability for LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend. This market refers to the LoL match between JD Gaming and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 7 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming wi…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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