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LoL: FALKE Esports vs GIANTX iTero (BO3) - LES Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: FALKE Esports vs GIANTX iTero (BO3) - LES Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game Handicap: GXI (-1.5) vs FALKE Esports (+1.5) 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 92% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 92% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 91% Volume: $80K Liquidity: $434K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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LoL: FALKE Esports vs GIANTX iTero (BO3) - LES Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: GXI (-1.5) vs FALKE Esports (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon92%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon92%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor91%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills9%
Odd/Even Total Kills9%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: falke esports vs giantx itero (bo3) - les regular season stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between FALKE Esports and GIANTX iTero in the LES Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 13 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade LoL: FALKE Esports vs GIANTX iTero (BO3) - LES Regul… on Kalshi vs Polymarket

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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