Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Charlotte FC (-1.5) | 100% |
| Charlotte FC (-2.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5) | 0% |
| Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Pumas de la UNAM O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Pumas de la UNAM O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Pumas de la UNAM O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Pumas de la UNAM 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Pumas de la UNAM 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Pumas de la UNAM 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Pumas de la UNAM 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Charlotte FC host Pumas UNAM in a Leagues Cup group-stage match at Bank of America Stadium, with kick-off listed for 4 August at 8:00 pm ET and the market settling on the game’s more markets by the end of 5 August UTC. The crowd is pricing **100% YES**, which leaves almost no room for disagreement inside the contract even before line movement from bookmakers or model updates is considered.[2][3]
That price is best read against the wider pre-match picture rather than as a literal certainty. Public preview material framed Charlotte as the home-side favourite, but not overwhelmingly so, noting a 43% probability for Charlotte and 35% for Pumas in one market snapshot, while 365Scores listed both “Charlotte FC to win” and “Pumas UNAM to win” among its match markets, alongside even-money style totals such as over 1.5 goals and both teams to score.[7][11] The teams had no prior head-to-head history in the competition preview, and both arrived with mixed recent form, which usually supports a more balanced pricing range than a unanimous crowd line.[7]
For traders, the main catalysts are line-ups, late injury or rotation news, and any confirmation of whether key starters are rested after the compressed summer schedule. Charlotte’s official match information confirms the fixture timing and venue, while ESPN and SofaScore both show the event as a Leagues Cup group-stage match at Charlotte, so any deviation in availability or team selection would be the most relevant cross-platform trigger for a reprice.[1][2][3]
Methodology
This page reviews Charlotte FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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