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FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 98% FC Barcelona O/U 0.5 97% O/U 1.5 91% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 90% Volume: $119K Liquidity: $836K Closes: 31 Aug 2026
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FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
98% 2% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
98% 2% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.598%
FC Barcelona O/U 0.597%
O/U 1.591%
2nd Half O/U 0.590%
FC Barcelona 2nd Half O/U 0.586%
FC Barcelona O/U 1.585%
1st Half O/U 0.583%
FC Barcelona 1st Half O/U 0.578%
O/U 2.576%
FC Barcelona (-1.5)72%
2nd Half O/U 1.566%
FC Barcelona O/U 2.565%
O/U 3.556%
FC Barcelona 2nd Half O/U 1.556%
1st Half O/U 1.553%
FC Barcelona (-2.5)52%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.547%
Both Teams to Score46%
FC Barcelona 1st Half O/U 1.545%
2nd Half O/U 2.538%
O/U 4.536%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2nd Half O/U 0.529%
1st Half O/U 2.526%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half25%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1st Half O/U 0.524%
O/U 5.520%
Both Teams to Score in First Half18%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.514%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2nd Half O/U 1.511%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 2.53%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1st Half O/U 1.53%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)1%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 98% chance of fc barcelona vs. rayo vallecano de madrid - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for August 31 at 3:30 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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