Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Anyang O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Anyang O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Anyang 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 1.5 | 62% |
| FC Anyang (-1.5) | 52% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 51% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| FC Anyang 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| FC Anyang 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| FC Anyang O/U 2.5 | 42% |
| O/U 4.5 | 35% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.5) | 24% |
| FC Anyang (-2.5) | 14% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5) | 13% |
| O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Anyang 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Bucheon FC 1995 and FC Anyang meet in the K League match scheduled for 22 July at 6:30 a.m. ET, with the “More Markets” contract settling on whether additional markets will be posted or resolved for that game. The crowd-implied probability of **13% YES** is low relative to the match itself, which is consistent with a side market that depends on exchange activity rather than the on-pitch result alone.
Comparable pricing points to a much wider range than the prediction market implies. One odds-comparison feed has Anyang around **1.77** to win, with Bucheon at **2.35** and the draw at **2.78**, while another lists a much tighter home-away split at roughly **2.90 / 2.52**; that gap shows the pre-match book was not uniform across venues.[4][2] An independent preview also describes Bucheon and Anyang as near-moneyline outsiders at **+160** both ways, suggesting analysts and bookmakers saw a relatively balanced fixture rather than an obvious one-way spot.[1] Against that backdrop, a 13% contract price for “more markets” looks like a niche operational bet, not a view on match competitiveness.
For traders, the key catalysts are market-making activity, line-up news, and whether either side’s status changes demand for derivative markets such as cards, corners, or player props before kick-off. The most relevant pre-match inputs are late team-sheet confirmations and any schedule or competition updates, because these can widen or narrow the menu of available markets even if the core 1X2 line barely moves.[1][5]
Methodology
We track Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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