Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang

Platform comparison

Market context

Bucheon FC 1995 host FC Anyang in the K-League fixture scheduled for 22 July, and the market is pricing a **10% YES** outcome against a backdrop of fairly conventional football pricing for a home-underdog spot. That level sits well below the broad pre-match view from model and odds feeds, which imply a much more open contest: Sportradar’s stats hub gives Anyang 48%, the draw 29%, and Bucheon 23%, while average historical moneyline odds on a recent Anyang-Bucheon meeting were 3.75, 3.30 and 2.00, indicating the away side was only a modest favourite rather than a runaway. [4][5]

The historical frame leans towards FC Anyang overall: in 48 head-to-head meetings, Anyang have won 20, Bucheon 13, with 15 draws, so a low single-digit YES price would usually need either a strong team-news edge for Bucheon or a sharp read on venue-specific variance. [6] A 10% market therefore looks notably below the sort of consensus implied by public probability models, which is the key comparison point for traders watching cross-platform divergence. [4][6]

The main catalysts are line-up and schedule information rather than long-range trend data. Any late injury or rotation news, plus confirmation of starting goalkeepers and foreign-player availability, can move a market like this quickly in the final hours before the 10:30 UTC settlement window closes; live fixture pages already show the match as underway, underscoring that in-play updates are the dominant driver now. [1][2][3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.