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France vs. England - More Markets

Comparison of odds and platforms for "France vs. England - More Markets" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi vs Polymarket.

O/U 0.5 96% O/U 1.5 86% O/U 2.5 69% Team to Win 63% Volume: $155K Liquidity: $2.6M Closes: 18 Jul 2026
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France vs. England - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 96% 4% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 96% 4% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.596%
O/U 1.586%
O/U 2.569%
Team to Win63%
O/U 3.545%
France (-1.5)28%
Will the Match Go to Extra Time?25%
O/U 4.524%
Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?14%
France (-2.5)13%
O/U 5.513%
England (-1.5)12%
France (-3.5)5%
France (-4.5)5%
O/U 6.55%
England (-2.5)4%
O/U 7.52%
England (-3.5)1%
England (-4.5)1%
France (-5.5)1%
O/U 8.51%
England (-5.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 96% YES probability for France vs. England - More Markets. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 18 at 5:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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