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Fortuna Sittard vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Fortuna Sittard vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Fortuna Sittard (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $127K Liquidity: $473K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Fortuna Sittard vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fortuna Sittard (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 2.5100%
Fortuna Sittard O/U 0.5100%
Fortuna Sittard O/U 1.5100%
Fortuna Sittard O/U 2.5100%
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden O/U 0.5100%
Fortuna Sittard 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Fortuna Sittard 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Fortuna Sittard 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden (-1.5)0%
Fortuna Sittard (-2.5)0%
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden (-2.5)0%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden O/U 1.50%
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden O/U 2.50%
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Fortuna Sittard 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Fortuna Sittard will host SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden on 15 August 2026 in an Eredivisie fixture scheduled for 15:00 ET. The market in question settles on whether additional betting markets will be offered for this match, with the crowd-implied probability currently at 100%, suggesting near-certainty that supplementary wagering options beyond standard match outcomes will be available.

The 100% reading reflects historical precedent in Dutch top-flight coverage. Eredivisie matches, particularly those involving established clubs like Fortuna Sittard, routinely attract multiple derivative markets—including first-goal scorers, corner counts, card totals, and half-time/full-time combinations—across major European sportsbooks and prediction platforms. Cambuur's status as a mid-table Eredivisie side does not typically suppress market depth; Dutch football's domestic appeal ensures consistent liquidity even for less prominent fixtures. Comparable August fixtures from prior seasons show near-universal availability of ancillary markets within hours of official scheduling.

Key dependencies centre on broadcast rights confirmation and sportsbook operational calendars. The fixture's timing—mid-August, well into the 2026–27 season—falls outside typical fixture congestion periods that might strain market-making capacity. No recent announcements regarding fixture postponements, venue changes, or broadcast blackouts have emerged. Traders should monitor whether either club faces unexpected administrative or regulatory complications in the weeks preceding the match, though such occurrences remain rare in the Eredivisie. The settlement window closing at 19:00 ET on match day allows sufficient time for market operators to confirm supplementary offerings before the final whistle.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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