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Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 99% O/U 2.5 Games 75% Map 2 Winner 74% Match Winner 50% Volume: $316K Liquidity: $562K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
99% 1% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
99% 1% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.599%
O/U 2.5 Games75%
Map 2 Winner74%
Match Winner50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.549%
Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)25%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-6.5) vs paiN (+6.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 99% probability to counter-strike: pain vs 3dmax (bo3) - stake ranked episode 3 playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Round 1 match between paiN and 3DMAX in the Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 16 at 8:30AM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Stake Ranked E… on Kalshi vs Polymarket

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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