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Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map Handicap: LVG (-1.5) vs Ground Zero (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Lynn Vision (-6.5) vs Ground Zero (+6.5) 100% Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Lynn Vision (-6.5) vs Ground Zero (+6.5) 50% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lynn Vision (-9.5) vs Ground Zero (+9.5) 10% Volume: $108K Liquidity: $551K Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: LVG (-1.5) vs Ground Zero (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Lynn Vision (-6.5) vs Ground Zero (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Lynn Vision (-6.5) vs Ground Zero (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lynn Vision (-9.5) vs Ground Zero (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lynn Vision (-6.5) vs Ground Zero (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Lynn Vision (-9.5) vs Ground Zero (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to counter-strike: ground zero vs lynn vision (bo3) - blast open asian qualifier playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between Ground Zero and Lynn Vision in the BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 10 at 8:30AM ET. This market…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - B… on Kalshi vs Polymarket

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