Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 94% |
| Match Winner | 81% |
| Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5) | 60% |
| Map 2 Winner | 59% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 52% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-9.5) vs 3DMAX (+9.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) | 48% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 42% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) | 40% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) | 38% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 26% |
Market context
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage — current market-implied probability: 94%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between FaZe and 3DMAX in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 4 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FaZe" if FaZ…
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX (BO3) - XSE Pro League… on Kalshi vs Polymarket
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →