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Counter-Strike: ALKA vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: ALKA vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $142K Liquidity: $588K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: ALKA vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BORRACHEIROS (-6.5) vs ALKA GAMING (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BORRACHEIROS (-3.5) vs ALKA GAMING (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BORRACHEIROS (-9.5) vs ALKA GAMING (+9.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ALKA GAMING (-3.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ALKA GAMING (-3.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+3.5)10%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ALKA GAMING (-6.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ALKA GAMING (-9.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+9.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: ALKA (-1.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ALKA GAMING (-3.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map Handicap: CHAMA (-1.5) vs ALKA GAMING (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BORRACHEIROS (-12.5) vs ALKA GAMING (+12.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ALKA GAMING (-6.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: alka vs borracheiros (bo3) - cct south america series 4 group stage stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between ALKA and BORRACHEIROS in the CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 15 at 6:00PM ET. T…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: ALKA vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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