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Villanova vs. Louisville

Five-platform snapshot of "Villanova vs. Louisville" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Spread -35.5 100% O/U 55.5 100% Louisville O/U 0.5 100% Louisville O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $94K Closes: 11 Sept 2026
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Villanova vs. Louisville

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -35.5100%
O/U 55.5100%
Louisville O/U 0.5100%
Louisville O/U 1.5100%
Louisville O/U 2.5100%
Louisville O/U 3.5100%
Spread -36.5100%
O/U 56.5100%
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -10.5100%
Spread -13.5100%
Spread -14.5100%
Spread -16.5100%
Spread -17.5100%
Spread -20.5100%
Spread -21.5100%
Spread -24.5100%
Spread -27.5100%
Spread -31.5100%
Spread -34.5100%
O/U 36.5100%
O/U 38.5100%
O/U 40.5100%
O/U 42.5100%
O/U 44.5100%
O/U 46.5100%
O/U 48.5100%
O/U 50.5100%
O/U 52.5100%
O/U 54.5100%
O/U 58.5100%
O/U 60.5100%
O/U 62.5100%
O/U 64.5100%
O/U 66.5100%
O/U 68.5100%
O/U 70.5100%
1H Spread -18.5100%
1H Spread -19.5100%
1H Spread -20.5100%
1Q Spread -5.5100%
1Q Spread -6.5100%
1Q Spread -7.5100%
1Q Spread -8.5100%
1Q Spread -9.5100%
3Q Spread -5.5100%
3Q Spread -6.5100%
3Q Spread -7.5100%
3Q Spread -8.5100%
3Q Spread -9.5100%
4Q Spread -5.5100%
4Q Spread -6.5100%
4Q Spread -7.5100%
4Q Spread -8.5100%
4Q Spread -9.5100%
Villanova O/U 3.5100%
Villanova O/U 6.5100%
Villanova O/U 9.5100%
Villanova O/U 12.5100%
Louisville O/U 40.5100%
Louisville O/U 43.5100%
Louisville O/U 46.5100%
Louisville O/U 49.5100%
Louisville O/U 52.5100%
1Q Spread -10.5100%
1Q Spread -11.5100%
Lincoln Kienholz: Anytime Touchdown100%
Jaleel Skinner: Anytime Touchdown100%
Lawayne McCoy: Anytime Touchdown100%
Ja'briel Mace: Anytime Touchdown100%
4Q Spread -4.5100%
Louisville O/U 39.5100%
Louisville O/U 42.5100%
Louisville O/U 45.5100%
Louisville O/U 48.5100%
Louisville O/U 51.5100%
Spread -37.5100%
Villanova O/U 1.5100%
Villanova O/U 4.5100%
Villanova O/U 7.5100%
Villanova O/U 10.5100%
Louisville O/U 41.5100%
Louisville O/U 44.5100%
Louisville O/U 47.5100%
Louisville O/U 50.5100%
Louisville O/U 53.5100%
1Q Spread -12.5100%
Villanova O/U 2.5100%
Villanova O/U 5.5100%
Villanova O/U 8.5100%
Villanova O/U 11.5100%
Louisville 1H O/U 25.5100%
Louisville 1H O/U 27.5100%
Louisville 1H O/U 29.5100%
Villanova 1H O/U 1.5100%
Villanova 1H O/U 3.5100%
Villanova 1H O/U 5.5100%
Spread -23.5100%
Spread -29.5100%
Spread -30.5100%
Spread -32.5100%
Spread -33.5100%
Spread -38.5100%
Spread -39.5100%
Spread -40.5100%
Spread -41.5100%
Spread -42.5100%
Spread -43.5100%
Spread -44.5100%
Spread -45.5100%
1H O/U 25.5100%
1H O/U 28.5100%
1H O/U 31.5100%
1H O/U 34.5100%
1H O/U 37.5100%
2H Spread -14.5100%
2H Spread -16.5100%
2H Spread -17.5100%
2H Spread -18.5100%
2H Spread -19.5100%
2H Spread -21.5100%
2H O/U 22.5100%
2H O/U 25.5100%
2H O/U 28.5100%
1Q Spread -13.5100%
1Q O/U 8.5100%
1Q O/U 11.5100%
1Q O/U 14.5100%
1Q O/U 17.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
2Q O/U 19.5100%
3Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
3Q O/U 13.5100%
3Q O/U 16.5100%
4Q Spread -11.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 10.5100%
4Q O/U 13.5100%
Villanova 2H O/U 2.5100%
Louisville 2H O/U 21.5100%
Louisville 2H O/U 23.5100%
Louisville 2H O/U 25.5100%
O/U 57.5100%
2H Spread -12.5100%
2H Spread -13.5100%
2H Spread -15.5100%
Villanova vs. Louisville0%
Villanova O/U 0.50%
Villanova O/U 1.50%
Villanova O/U 2.50%
Villanova O/U 3.50%
O/U 72.50%
O/U 74.50%
O/U 76.50%
2H Moneyline0%
1H Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -22.50%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -11.50%
2Q Spread -12.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Moneyline0%
3Q Moneyline0%
4Q Moneyline0%
Villanova O/U 15.50%
Isaac Brown: Anytime Touchdown0%
Tre Richardson: Anytime Touchdown0%
Keyjuan Brown: Anytime Touchdown0%
TreyShun Hurry: Anytime Touchdown0%
Brody Foley: Anytime Touchdown0%
Isaiah Ragland: Anytime Touchdown0%
1H Spread -23.50%
1H Moneyline0%
2Q Spread -14.50%
Villanova O/U 13.50%
Villanova O/U 14.50%
2Q Spread -15.50%
1H Spread -24.50%
1H Spread -25.50%
Spread -46.50%
Spread -48.50%
Spread -51.50%
Spread -52.50%
Spread -54.50%
Spread -55.50%
Spread -58.50%
1H Spread -27.50%
2H O/U 31.50%
2H O/U 34.50%
1Q O/U 20.50%
2Q Spread -17.50%
2Q O/U 22.50%
3Q Spread -11.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
4Q O/U 16.50%
4Q O/U 19.50%
Villanova 2H O/U 4.50%
Villanova 2H O/U 6.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to villanova vs. louisville. In the upcoming college football game between Villanova and Louisville, scheduled for September 11 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Villanova" if Villanova win the game. This market will res…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -35.5 at 100% for "Villanova vs. Louisville".

Spread -35.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $94K.

Methodology

This page reviews Villanova vs. Louisville across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports