Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| UTSA vs. Texas State | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UTSA O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UTSA O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UTSA O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Texas State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Brad Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Will Henderson III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Beau Sparks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chris Dawn Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| AJ Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Torrance Burgess Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brandon High Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaylen Jenkins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Davian Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| A'Marion Peterson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| David Amador II: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brandon Young Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tucker Cusano: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mekhi Anderson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Owen McCown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jordan Martin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DJ Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| T.J. West: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Miles Campbell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jamel Hardy: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| O/U 66.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| Spread -31.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| O/U 68.5 | 0% |
| O/U 70.5 | 0% |
| O/U 72.5 | 0% |
| O/U 74.5 | 0% |
| O/U 76.5 | 0% |
| O/U 78.5 | 0% |
| O/U 80.5 | 0% |
| O/U 82.5 | 0% |
| O/U 84.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 40.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| UTSA 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| UTSA 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| UTSA 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for UTSA vs. Texas State. In the upcoming college football game between UTSA and Texas State, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "UTSA" if UTSA win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $125K.
Methodology
This page reviews UTSA vs. Texas State across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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