Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| Virginia Tech 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Virginia Tech 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 99% |
| Spread -4.5 | 99% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 99% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 99% |
| Spread -6.5 | 98% |
| O/U 43.5 | 95% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 94% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 31.5 | 91% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 33.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| Spread -20.5 | 87% |
| Spread -21.5 | 87% |
| O/U 49.5 | 87% |
| O/U 50.5 | 82% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 34.5 | 78% |
| O/U 52.5 | 74% |
| Spread -27.5 | 73% |
| Spread -24.5 | 72% |
| Spread -23.5 | 71% |
| Spread -11.5 | 69% |
| Spread -33.5 | 65% |
| Spread -16.5 | 64% |
| Spread -5.5 | 64% |
| Spread -17.5 | 62% |
| Spread -1.5 | 59% |
| Spread -30.5 | 59% |
| O/U 37.5 | 57% |
| O/U 55.5 | 57% |
| Spread -10.5 | 56% |
| Spread -7.5 | 55% |
| Spread -9.5 | 55% |
| Spread -13.5 | 54% |
| Spread -14.5 | 52% |
| O/U 61.5 | 52% |
| O/U 51.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| Spread -22.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Old Dominion O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 1H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 1H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 1H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Marcellous Hawkins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jeffrey Overton Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Quinn Henicle: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ayden Greene: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ethan Grunkemeyer: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Messiah Mickens: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Devin Roche: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Que'Sean Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Luke Reynolds: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| TJ Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Trey Hall: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| JJ Harrell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Benji Gosnell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tyseer Denmark: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Leon Haughton Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chanz Wiggins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Josh Rodriguez: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Maurki James: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sidney Mbanasor: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Damon Duke: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -36.5 | 50% |
| Spread -37.5 | 50% |
| Spread -40.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| O/U 53.5 | 41% |
| O/U 67.5 | 33% |
| Old Dominion O/U 20.5 | 20% |
| Old Dominion vs. Virginia Tech | 1% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Old Dominion vs. Virginia Tech — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Old Dominion and Virginia Tech, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Old Dominion" if Old Dominion win the game. This ma…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $213K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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