Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| North Dakota State O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 99% |
| O/U 47.5 | 98% |
| O/U 32.5 | 98% |
| O/U 44.5 | 98% |
| O/U 48.5 | 97% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 97% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 97% |
| O/U 49.5 | 96% |
| O/U 50.5 | 95% |
| O/U 52.5 | 93% |
| North Dakota State vs. Air Force | 91% |
| O/U 28.5 | 91% |
| O/U 30.5 | 91% |
| O/U 34.5 | 91% |
| O/U 36.5 | 91% |
| O/U 40.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 1H Moneyline | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 91% |
| North Dakota State O/U 21.5 | 91% |
| North Dakota State O/U 24.5 | 91% |
| North Dakota State O/U 27.5 | 91% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 8.5 | 91% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 91% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 9.5 | 91% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 11.5 | 91% |
| Spread -1.5 | 90% |
| Spread -2.5 | 88% |
| Spread -3.5 | 85% |
| Spread -4.5 | 83% |
| O/U 56.5 | 83% |
| Spread -5.5 | 79% |
| Spread -6.5 | 78% |
| North Dakota State O/U 30.5 | 77% |
| Spread -7.5 | 74% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 70% |
| Air Force O/U 20.5 | 69% |
| Spread -9.5 | 66% |
| Spread -10.5 | 63% |
| O/U 62.5 | 60% |
| Air Force O/U 23.5 | 60% |
| Spread -13.5 | 54% |
| Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| North Dakota State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Air Force O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Air Force O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Air Force O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Air Force O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Air Force 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Air Force 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Air Force 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| DJ Scott: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Liam Szarka: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Myles Mitchell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Owen Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rocco Conti: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mekhi Collins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nathan Hayes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kemper Hodges: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Reis Kessel: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jackson Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keegan Sack: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Matt Long: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chris Kiel: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonah Dawson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Gage LaDue: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Luke Rauh: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Isiah St. Romain: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Logan Conklin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mason Hayes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Air Force 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 40% |
| Spread -16.5 | 39% |
| Spread -17.5 | 38% |
| Spread -20.5 | 27% |
| Spread -21.5 | 25% |
| Spread -24.5 | 14% |
| Spread -27.5 | 10% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 9% |
| Spread -1.5 | 6% |
| Spread -2.5 | 6% |
| Spread -3.5 | 4% |
| Spread -4.5 | 4% |
| Spread -5.5 | 3% |
| Spread -6.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 3% |
| Spread -11.5 | 2% |
| Spread -14.5 | 2% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of north dakota state vs. air force. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between North Dakota State and Air Force, scheduled for September 12 at 10:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Dakota State" if North …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $169K.
Methodology
This page reviews North Dakota State vs. Air Force across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade North Dakota State vs. Air Force on Kalshi vs Polymarket
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →