Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Virginia O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Virginia 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Virginia 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Virginia 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Virginia O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Virginia 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Virginia 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Virginia 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| Spread: Virginia (-5.5) | 99% |
| Spread -4.5 | 99% |
| Spread -6.5 | 98% |
| Spread -3.5 | 97% |
| Spread -10.5 | 97% |
| Spread -13.5 | 96% |
| Spread -7.5 | 95% |
| Spread -14.5 | 93% |
| Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| Virginia O/U 25.5 | 90% |
| Virginia O/U 28.5 | 90% |
| Virginia O/U 24.5 | 90% |
| Virginia O/U 27.5 | 90% |
| Virginia O/U 30.5 | 90% |
| Spread -2.5 | 89% |
| Spread -16.5 | 78% |
| O/U 39.5 | 71% |
| Spread -17.5 | 69% |
| Spread -20.5 | 66% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| North Carolina State 1H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| North Carolina State O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| North Carolina State 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Virginia 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Virginia 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Virginia 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| O/U 45.5 | 48% |
| O/U 51.5 | 15% |
| O/U 52.5 | 14% |
| O/U 53.5 | 5% |
| O/U 55.5 | 5% |
| O/U 57.5 | 3% |
| O/U 63.5 | 3% |
| O/U 69.5 | 2% |
| 1H Moneyline | 1% |
| North Carolina State vs. Virginia | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to north carolina state vs. virginia. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for August 29 at 3:30PM ET: If North Carolina State wins, the market will resolve to "North Carolina State". If Virginia wins, the market will resolve …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $321K.
Methodology
This page reviews North Carolina State vs. Virginia across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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