Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -44.5 | 100% |
| O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| Spread -43.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| Spread -17.5 | 100% |
| Spread -20.5 | 100% |
| Spread -21.5 | 100% |
| Spread -24.5 | 100% |
| Spread -27.5 | 100% |
| Spread -31.5 | 100% |
| Spread -34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| O/U 58.5 | 100% |
| O/U 60.5 | 100% |
| O/U 62.5 | 100% |
| O/U 64.5 | 100% |
| O/U 66.5 | 100% |
| O/U 68.5 | 100% |
| O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| Grambling State O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Grambling State O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| TCU O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| TCU O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| TCU O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| TCU O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| TCU O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| Spread -23.5 | 100% |
| Spread -26.5 | 100% |
| Spread -29.5 | 100% |
| Spread -30.5 | 100% |
| Spread -33.5 | 100% |
| Spread -35.5 | 100% |
| Spread -36.5 | 100% |
| Spread -37.5 | 100% |
| Spread -38.5 | 100% |
| Spread -39.5 | 100% |
| Spread -40.5 | 100% |
| Spread -41.5 | 100% |
| Spread -42.5 | 100% |
| Spread -45.5 | 100% |
| Spread -46.5 | 100% |
| Spread -47.5 | 100% |
| Spread -48.5 | 100% |
| Spread -49.5 | 100% |
| Spread -50.5 | 100% |
| Spread -51.5 | 100% |
| Spread -52.5 | 100% |
| Spread -54.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -18.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -22.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -23.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -25.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -15.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Grambling State O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Grambling State O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Grambling State 1H O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Grambling State 1H O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Grambling State 1H O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| TCU 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| TCU 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| TCU 1H O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| TCU 2H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| TCU 2H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| TCU 2H O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| TCU O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| TCU O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| TCU O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| TCU O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| TCU O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| Grambling State vs. TCU | 0% |
| O/U 70.5 | 0% |
| O/U 72.5 | 0% |
| O/U 74.5 | 0% |
| 2H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -26.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Grambling State O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Grambling State O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -57.5 | 0% |
| Spread -58.5 | 0% |
| Spread -60.5 | 0% |
| Spread -61.5 | 0% |
| Spread -64.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -29.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Grambling State O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Grambling State O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Grambling State O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Grambling State 2H O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Grambling State 2H O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Grambling State 2H O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| TCU 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| TCU 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of grambling state vs. tcu. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Grambling State and TCU, scheduled for September 12 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Grambling State" if Grambling State win…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $152K.
Methodology
We track Grambling State vs. TCU across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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