Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
85% | 15% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
85% | 15% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 36.5 | 85% |
| O/U 30.5 | 81% |
| Spread -1.5 | 80% |
| Spread -2.5 | 80% |
| Spread -0.5 | 79% |
| O/U 42.5 | 71% |
| Spread -3.5 | 59% |
| Spread -4.5 | 58% |
| Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| O/U 48.5 | 56% |
| Colorado O/U 18.5 | 53% |
| Spread: Georgia Tech (-6.5) | 52% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 28.5 | 52% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 31.5 | 52% |
| O/U 50.5 | 51% |
| O/U 32.5 | 51% |
| O/U 62.5 | 51% |
| O/U 64.5 | 51% |
| O/U 68.5 | 51% |
| Colorado O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Colorado O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| Colorado O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Colorado O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| Colorado O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Georgia Tech 1H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| O/U 70.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 1H Moneyline | 49% |
| Georgia Tech 1H O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Spread -34.5 | 48% |
| O/U 51.5 | 48% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 29.5 | 48% |
| O/U 52.5 | 45% |
| Spread -7.5 | 43% |
| Spread -8.5 | 43% |
| Spread -31.5 | 42% |
| O/U 54.5 | 39% |
| Spread -10.5 | 36% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 35% |
| Colorado vs. Georgia Tech | 33% |
| 2H Moneyline | 32% |
| O/U 60.5 | 26% |
| Spread -13.5 | 19% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| O/U 66.5 | 13% |
| Spread -20.5 | 11% |
| Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| Spread -24.5 | 8% |
| Spread -27.5 | 5% |
Market context
The Colorado vs. Georgia Tech prediction market currently prices this outcome at 85% YES. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 3 at 8:00PM ET: If Colorado wins, the market will resolve to "Colorado". If Georgia Tech wins, the market will resolve to "Georgia Tech".…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $69K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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