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Arkansas vs. Utah

Five-platform snapshot of "Arkansas vs. Utah" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1Q Spread -0.5 100% 1Q Spread -1.5 100% 1Q Spread -2.5 100% 1Q Spread -3.5 100% Volume: $192K Liquidity: $336K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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Arkansas vs. Utah

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
Utah 1H O/U 14.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1H Spread -4.597%
Utah 1H O/U 19.596%
1H Spread -6.595%
1H Spread -7.595%
Spread -5.594%
Spread -2.593%
O/U 36.593%
1H Spread -9.593%
Spread -1.592%
2Q Spread -2.592%
2Q Spread -7.592%
Spread -3.591%
1H O/U 21.591%
1H O/U 24.591%
Spread -11.589%
Spread -4.589%
2Q Spread -3.589%
Spread: Utah (-9.5)88%
Spread -6.588%
Spread -7.587%
Spread -10.586%
2Q O/U 13.586%
Spread -13.583%
Spread -14.583%
O/U 42.583%
Spread -16.579%
Utah O/U 27.579%
Utah O/U 34.578%
Spread -17.576%
O/U 38.576%
Utah O/U 30.576%
O/U 40.574%
O/U 44.572%
Spread -12.569%
4Q O/U 7.568%
O/U 46.567%
O/U 48.566%
Spread -15.564%
4Q O/U 10.562%
Spread -20.561%
Spread -21.561%
3Q Spread -2.559%
O/U 50.558%
Spread -18.558%
4Q Spread -3.556%
3Q Spread -3.555%
4Q Spread -2.555%
Spread -19.555%
4Q O/U 13.554%
3Q O/U 12.553%
O/U 52.552%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -8.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Wayshawn Parker: Anytime Touchdown50%
Devon Dampier: Anytime Touchdown50%
Braden Pegan: Anytime Touchdown50%
Braylen Russell: Anytime Touchdown50%
Sutton Smith: Anytime Touchdown50%
Chris Marshall: Anytime Touchdown50%
KJ Jackson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ricky Johnson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaden Platt: Anytime Touchdown50%
Daniel Bray: Anytime Touchdown50%
Larry Simmons: Anytime Touchdown50%
CJ Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
Donovan Faupel: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jamari Hawkins: Anytime Touchdown50%
1H Spread -5.550%
1H Spread -8.550%
1H Moneyline50%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -6.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H Spread -8.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Spread -4.550%
2Q Spread -5.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Utah O/U 33.550%
Utah O/U 36.550%
Utah O/U 39.550%
Arkansas O/U 15.550%
Arkansas O/U 18.550%
Arkansas O/U 24.550%
Utah 1H O/U 15.550%
Utah 1H O/U 17.550%
Arkansas 1H O/U 8.550%
Arkansas 1H O/U 10.550%
Arkansas 1H O/U 12.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
Arkansas O/U 14.550%
Arkansas O/U 17.550%
Arkansas O/U 26.550%
Utah O/U 28.550%
Utah O/U 31.550%
Utah O/U 40.550%
Utah 1H O/U 16.550%
Utah 1H O/U 18.550%
Arkansas 1H O/U 7.550%
Arkansas 1H O/U 9.550%
Arkansas 1H O/U 11.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
Byrd Ficklin: Anytime Touchdown50%
Steve Chavez-Soto: Anytime Touchdown50%
Hunter Andrews: Anytime Touchdown50%
Noah Bennee: Anytime Touchdown50%
Creed Whittemore: Anytime Touchdown50%
Cam Settles: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ismael Cisse: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kyri Shoels: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jelani Watkins: Anytime Touchdown50%
Utah 2H O/U 14.550%
Utah 2H O/U 16.550%
Utah 2H O/U 18.550%
Arkansas 2H O/U 7.550%
Arkansas 2H O/U 9.550%
Arkansas 2H O/U 11.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
Spread -8.550%
1H Spread -11.550%
1H O/U 33.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -9.550%
2H O/U 20.550%
2H O/U 23.550%
2H O/U 26.550%
2H O/U 29.550%
2H O/U 32.550%
2Q Spread -0.550%
2Q O/U 10.550%
2Q O/U 22.550%
3Q O/U 6.550%
3Q O/U 9.550%
3Q O/U 15.550%
3Q O/U 18.550%
Spread -22.549%
Utah O/U 37.548%
4Q O/U 16.546%
Spread -25.545%
Spread -24.544%
O/U 54.542%
Spread -27.542%
Arkansas O/U 2.542%
Spread -26.542%
Utah O/U 4.541%
3Q Spread -7.541%
Spread -28.540%
2Q O/U 16.538%
O/U 57.537%
Spread -29.537%
4Q Spread -7.537%
O/U 55.536%
Spread -31.535%
O/U 56.534%
4Q O/U 19.534%
Spread -32.533%
Spread -34.532%
O/U 62.532%
O/U 64.531%
O/U 68.531%
Arkansas O/U 20.531%
O/U 70.530%
O/U 74.529%
O/U 76.528%
O/U 58.525%
Arkansas O/U 23.524%
2Q O/U 19.523%
O/U 60.520%
1H O/U 27.519%
O/U 66.516%
Arkansas O/U 21.512%
O/U 72.59%
1H O/U 30.59%
Arkansas O/U 27.58%
Spread -4.54%
Spread -1.54%
Arkansas vs. Utah3%
Spread -2.53%
Spread -5.52%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Moneyline0%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of arkansas vs. utah. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas and Utah, scheduled for September 12 at 10:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arkansas" if Arkansas win the game. This mar…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q Spread -0.5 at 100% for "Arkansas vs. Utah".

1Q Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $192K.

Methodology

This page reviews Arkansas vs. Utah across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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