Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| SC Internacional (-1.5) | 0% |
| CA Mineiro (-1.5) | 0% |
| SC Internacional (-2.5) | 0% |
| CA Mineiro (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| SC Internacional O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| SC Internacional O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| SC Internacional O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| CA Mineiro O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| CA Mineiro O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| CA Mineiro O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| SC Internacional 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| SC Internacional 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| CA Mineiro 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| CA Mineiro 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| SC Internacional 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| SC Internacional 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| CA Mineiro 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| CA Mineiro 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
SC Internacional’s meeting with CA Mineiro at Beira-Rio has been priced tightly across books, but not by the prediction market. Polymarket’s related listing showed the home side around 44% to win, with the draw near 29% and the visitors about 25%, while sportsbook prices implied a narrower home edge, roughly 2.25 on Internacional, 3.25 on the draw and 3.25 on Mineiro. That leaves the current 0% YES on this “more markets” contract looking disconnected from the match-level moneyline and from the broader market consensus on a competitive Serie A fixture.
Comparable Serie A spots between mid-table sides often settle into low-scoring, marginally home-biased games rather than decisive favourites-versus-longshots pricing. Public models also leaned towards a close contest: one preview gave Mineiro a slight outright edge at 37%, with Internacional 32% and the draw 31%, while another market view pointed to under 2.5 goals as the cleaner angle. The current 0% implies the contract is either unresolved on a narrow, secondary condition or has been left outside the main pricing cluster.
Traders should watch the final settlement wording, because “more markets” contracts on football can hinge on whether a linked prop, team-stat threshold, or result-dependent side market was activated before the deadline. The key dependency is the official match outcome and any related event data from the 22:30 UTC kick-off window; line moves elsewhere in the market were still pointing to a low-total, balanced game close to settlement.
Methodology
This page reviews SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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