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National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor

How the prediction-market book is pricing "National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 Winner 100% National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $729K Liquidity: $97K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 Winner100%
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 22.590%
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 21.587%
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 23.587%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor45%
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor Set Handicap +/-1.51%
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor Set Handicap +/-1.51%
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 Winner0%
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 8.50%
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 9.50%
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, national bank open: alexander zverev vs tallon griekspoor stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Tallon Griekspoor in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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