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Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov 100% Completed Match 100% Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov Set 1 Winner 100% Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $79K Closes: 26 Oct 2026
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Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov100%
Completed Match100%
Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov Set 1 Winner100%
Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov Set 2 Winner100%
Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov Match O/U 21.5100%
Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov Match O/U 22.5100%
Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov Match O/U 23.5100%
Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov Game Spread +/-4.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of almaty open: fabian marozsan vs timofey skatov. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Timofey Skatov in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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